Scientists say Bush win beat million to one exit poll odds

Officially, President Bush won November’s election by 2.5%, yet exit polls showed Kerry winning by 3%. A new report by a group of university statisticians, says the odds of a discrepancy this large between the national exit poll and election results happening by accident are close to 1 in a million.

Either something was wrong with the exit polling, or something was wrong with the vote count. A number of Ph.D. statisticians who have seen preliminary versions of the exit poll study have not refuted it.